Coinspeaker·
Trader Bets $16K on a US Invasion of Iran as Ceasefire Confidence Fades

16%
Iran invasion odds
The Polymarket Iran contract priced U.S. territorial action at 16%, but its rules set a narrower test than simple military escalation.
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The Polymarket Iran contract priced U.S. territorial action at 16%, but its rules set a narrower test than simple military escalation.