Unchained·

Brazil Election Results Spark Debate Over Prediction Markets After Lula Wins at 20% Odds

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80%
Bolsonaro implied odds

Polymarket and Kalshi priced Flávio Bolsonaro as a roughly 80% favorite hours before Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Sunday's runoff, and traders are split on whether the markets got it wrong.

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